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Keep that in mind:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/29/AR2007102900142.html?referrer=digg
If American politics is changing," the report concluded, "the style and approach of the American press does not appear to be changing with it."
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20071029/pl_nm/usa_politics_markets_dc;_ylt=AhcObvSQ1rQrOwJ62d4Ia4Ks0NUE
Traders predicted the Democratic candidate would ultimately win the election by about 4 percentage points.
RAPID GROWTH IN PREDICTION EXCHANGES
But Berg cautioned the numbers were constantly shifting as new information reached the market. Candidates can surge and plummet.
"It's not like you look in the magic crystal ball and you can see what's going to happen in the future," she said. "It's pulling together all the available information that's out there, saying ... this is what we think is going to happen."
The number of prediction exchanges has grown rapidly with the advent of the Internet.